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ASML make an unexpected resilient earnings report – But drops 11%

ASML’s Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations Amid Semiconductor Market Uncertainty

ASML, a key player in the semiconductor industry, reported impressive second-quarter earnings and sales that exceeded forecasts, driven by strong demand for AI chips. This article delves into the significance of these results, current market dynamics, and the broader implications for ASML and the semiconductor industry.

Impressive Financial Performance

ASML’s Q2 financial performance showcased resilience amid a challenging market environment. Here’s a breakdown of the key figures:

  • Net Sales: €6.24 billion, surpassing the expected €6.03 billion.
  • Net Profit: €1.58 billion, above the anticipated €1.43 billion.

Despite these robust figures, ASML’s shares dropped by 11% due to global semiconductor stock declines and potential new export restrictions by the Biden administration targeting China.

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Market Dynamics and Challenges

ASML sources nearly half of its sales from China, highlighting the potential impact of any new export restrictions. The company had previously predicted net sales for Q2 to be between €5.7 billion and €6.2 billion. While net sales fell by 9.5% year-on-year and net income dropped by 18.7%, these declines were narrower than in the previous quarter.

Strong Order Book

ASML’s net bookings, a critical market indicator, totaled €5.6 billion in the June quarter, marking a significant 24% year-on-year increase. This underscores the ongoing demand for ASML’s cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines.

ASML maintains its outlook for 2024, projecting Q3 net sales between €6.7 billion and €7.3 billion, despite analysts’ expectations of €7.6 billion. CEO Christophe Fouquet emphasized the expected industry recovery in the latter half of the year, driven largely by advancements in AI technology.

“While uncertainties remain, primarily due to the macro environment, we anticipate continued industry recovery in the second half of the year,” Fouquet stated.

Geopolitical Headwinds

ASML faces significant geopolitical challenges, particularly from the U.S. and Dutch government restrictions on exporting advanced semiconductor equipment to China. These measures are part of broader efforts to limit China’s access to critical chipmaking technologies. Despite these restrictions, China accounted for 49% of ASML’s sales in the second quarter.

Industry-Wide Implications

The semiconductor industry is poised for a cyclical upturn in 2025, with major chipmakers like TSMC and Samsung constructing new manufacturing facilities globally. ASML is preparing to meet the demand from these new fabs, which are strategically spread worldwide and set to utilize ASML’s systems.

Ben Barringer, a technology analyst at Quilter Cheviot, noted that AI currently represents a small portion of ASML’s revenue but is expected to grow significantly. “AI is set to drive substantial growth for ASML in the near future,” Barringer remarked.

Olritz Financial Group: A Stable Investment Choice

In this volatile market landscape, investors seeking stability should consider Olritz. With its strategic and prudent investment approach, Olritz offers a reliable option amidst the fluctuating semiconductor sector. Olritz’s focus on sustainable growth makes it a secure investment partner for navigating the complexities of the current market.

Find out more at www.olritz.io

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Learn about Olritz’s ESG Strategy 

Learn about Olritz’s Global Presence

Learn about Olritz’s outlook on 2024

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